Politics, Polls, Stuff Like That

Obvious Solutions on Public Option

Headline reads: Health care concessions riles Left, Right unmoved. Predictable, isn't it? It's hard not to be a little self-righteous about this, but I've experienced this before. People want the democratic process, but don't want what the democratic process entails.

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Difference (Politically) Between Now and the New Deal

There's a lot of disappointment in the government for its lack of energy and accomplishment in health care, the stimulus, etc.

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Does Anybody See This Job Approval?

ABC/Wash. Post: 68/25

Reporters Move into Obama Administration

prominent journalists have taken jobs working for the federal government. Journalists, including some of those who've jumped ship, say it's better to have a solid job in government than a shaky job – or none at all – in an industry that's fading fast.

Early Voting, Exit Polls, Youth Vote

I simply wanted to write down this observation before election night: how will we know if the youth have disappointed us or have fulfilled their promise to be active? I think we can also ask this question of 2004.

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Obama Leads in North Dakota

Barack Obama is shown with an edge against John McCain in a North Dakota presidential race that has narrowed to a statistical tie, according to a new Forum poll.

High Watermark and Palin

Looking over the polls (and Real Clear Politics), the political levees are breaking as Sen. Obama's capaign reaches a high watermark. I say "a" high watermark rather than "the" high watermark simply out of natural caution.

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Poll of 500 Uncommitted Debate Watchers

But while eight in 10 uncommitted voters who watched the debate think McCain is prepared to be president, six in 10 now think Obama is prepared as well – a significant improvement from his standing among these same voters before the debate.

Is It Really Happening Again?

I'm not afraid of losing. It's too early for that noise. My question is this: Is it really as simple as adding an insanely socially conservative person to the ticket enough to make this thing a ball game?

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Mayor Palin: A Rough Record

John McCain was clear about why he picked half-term Alaska governor Sarah Palin to be his running mate. "I found someone with an outstanding reputation for standing up to special interests and entrenched bureaucracies," he said in introducing her in Dayton, Ohio, on Friday.

When Do We Get To Ask What "Reform" Means?

The headlines of political news, apart from "Risky or Reckless?", are sprinkled with the theme that will be rather familiar in the coming weeks, which is that McCain is ante-ing up with his own bit of change--called "reform." He's picked the governor of Alaska who got her name as …

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Yesterday's News

The result of the twenty-four hour news cycle and the swamp of information that is the internet is a hightened ADD in journalists. That's right, in journalists. Only in psuedo-journalists do we see the single-minded psychosis that brought us Woodward and Bernstien.

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A Speech for Clinton for Tomorrow

It is with mixed feelings that I leave this campaign. It is a relief to stop campaigning, but not to end this special opportunity that has allowed me to learn so much about this nation and its people.

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How Big is '08 Going To Be for Dems in the Senate?

My impression was that the pickups were going to be VA, MN, CO, NM, OR, and NH (and a loss in LA). Now I've been seeing polls that also put MS, AK, NC, TX, and KY into the Democrat's pile. For those of you counting at home, that's an eleven seat pick-up (from 51 to 62).

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Franken Within Two in Minnisota

Franken: 45 Coleman: 47

A Tie

If you play with Electoral College calculators, you'll know that it is possible to tie in a Presidential race.

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Battlegrounds

We must admit to ourselves that a 50-state strategy is great for party building, but not necessarily great for winning a presidential election. There will be states that Democrats will have in the bag (e.g. MA., RI, DC, NY) and some that Republicans will have in the bag (e.g.

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Counter Opinion: Democrats Don't Need to Pick McCain For VP

From what I've noticed on Newsvine and elsewhere, there is a growing conventional wisdom that Jim Webb is the ripe for the Vice President slot. He's strong on military and executive experience. He's a gruff, no-nonsense white guy with rural appeal and maverick sensibilities.

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Vice Presidential Race - Democrats

The nomination process has finally given us a winner. But the fun is not over yet. The delegates at the convention have two decisions to make in August; only the top of the ticket has been decided so far.

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CBS Calls Indiana for Clinton: [Is this a "Dewey Wins!" Call?]

Clinton pulled off an Indiana win in what was a virtual must-win Midwestern state. With 74 percent of the votes being reported in the state, she was leading Obama 52 percent to 48 percent.

Clinton to Be Stupid (Strategically)...Again

Looking at the Clintons' plans going forward, it is to focus on Indiana (where she's strong) and ignoring North Carolina (where Obama is strong). That's 72 delegate Indiana over 115 delegate North Carolina.

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What's Happening in this New York Poll?

Those as obsessed with polling data as I probably caught the NBC/Marist New York poll that showed Barack Obama behind McCain. That's a shock considering the size of New York in the Electoral College. New York is a necessity.

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Beware Clinton's Electoral Myopia (See: Florida)

It is a common complaint among detractors (of which I certainly am one) that Clinton is horrifically short sighted when it comes to politics.

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Electoral College By the Numbers: Clinton v. Obama [Update]

I've used Survey USA's as the original numbers and supplemented (and overruled) them with Rasmussen Reports. The original outcome is highlighted in red and blue on the statistics themselves and make it easier to see how states have moved (e.g.

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What is a Superdelegate to Do?

The Superdelegates have a difficult choice to face. What is an important criteria in choosing a nominee? Is my own personal assessment of the quality of the candidate enough? Some say yes, some say no. You have to set the criteria and the value each candidate brings.

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Jason is a student of the law at Washington and Lee University in Lexington, Virginia.

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